27 Jul · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1387
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mrugala
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1344
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Mrugala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Mrugala
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H3-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)