27 Jul · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1686
FormWLLWW
88%Win chancemodel fair 1.14Warzecha
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1233
FormLLLLL
88%
12%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 88% · 1.14vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 75%Total ~70 pts
3-0
44%
3-1
31%
3-2
13%
2-3
6%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+453
H2H32-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+453)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-9)