27 Jul · 22:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1255
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1344
FormWWLWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~81 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)