27 Jul · 21:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1362
FormWWLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kostepski
RK
🇵🇱Robert Kostepski
ELO 1487
FormLLLWL
37%
63%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Kostepski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)