27 Jul · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1492
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skorupa
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1538
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)