27 Jul · 21:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1429
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kowalczyk
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1334
FormLLWWL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fabis🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H67-74
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)