27 Jul · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1395
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Marud
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1477
FormWLLLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Marud
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+82
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)