28 Jul · 00:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1263
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fabis
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1348
FormWWLLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 48% · 2.07· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~82 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)