28 Jul · 01:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1388
FormLLLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1534
FormLLLWW
34%
66%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+146
H2H8-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-0)