28 Jul · 00:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1287
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Golaszewski
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1267
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Eliasz🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H5-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.