28 Jul · 01:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1400
FormLWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Mrugala
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1288
FormWLWWL
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Golaszewski🌟Mrugala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Mrugala
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H34-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-25)