28 Jul · 02:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1707
FormWWWWW
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Durda
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1383
FormLLLLW
81%
19%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~74 pts
3-0
40%
3-1
28%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+324
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+324)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)