28 Jul · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1213
FormLWLWL
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1704
FormWWWWW
10%
90%
🌟Barton stays under total as underdog 70% (37)
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 91% · 1.09· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~70 pts
0-3
45%
1-3
31%
2-3
14%
3-2
5%
3-1
4%
Elo Gap+491
H2H18-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+491)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-1)