28 Jul · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1709
FormWWWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Durda
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1551
FormWWWLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+158
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)