28 Jul · 05:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1308
FormLWWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1468
FormLLWWL
33%
67%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)