28 Jul · 05:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1486
FormLWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Marud
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1374
FormLLLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Marud
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)