28 Jul · 05:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1549
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gumulinski
RK
🇵🇱Robert Kostepski
ELO 1496
FormWWLLL
56%
44%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 43% · 2.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)