28 Jul · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1308
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Ruszkiewicz
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1396
FormWLLLW
40%
60%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H5-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)