28 Jul · 06:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1426
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dabrowski
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1382
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H14-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)