28 Jul · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1492
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1546
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H89-78
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (89-78)