28 Jul · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1389
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wrobel
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1375
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Wrobel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Wrobel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.