28 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1297
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jedrysik
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jedrysik
ELO 1345
FormLWLWL
45%
55%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Jedrysik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~83 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H4-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)