28 Jul · 08:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1469
FormWWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Paszkiewicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1358
FormWLLWW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Paszkiewicz
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H34-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-9)