28 Jul · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1462
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1503
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H55-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-52)