28 Jul · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1461
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Klocek
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1384
FormWLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)