28 Jul · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1337
FormLLLWW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1704
FormWWWLW
16%
84%
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 83% · 1.21· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~74 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
29%
2-3
13%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+367
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+367)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)