28 Jul · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1290
FormLLLLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Paszkiewicz
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1469
FormWWWLW
31%
69%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Paszkiewicz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~80 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+179
H2H21-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-7)