28 Jul · 09:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1436
FormLLLWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1706
FormWWWWL
23%
77%
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~76 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+270
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+270)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)