28 Jul · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1473
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1506
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H8-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.