28 Jul · 09:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1351
FormLWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1453
FormLLWLL
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaczmarek🌟Vincenec goes over total as favourite 67% (21)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)