28 Jul · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1425
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jablonski
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1343
FormWWLWL
59%
41%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 38% (16)
Fair odds · Jablonski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+82
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)