28 Jul · 11:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1436
FormLLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Gajda
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1338
FormLWWLW
61%
39%
⚡ Cover lean · Gajda🌟Gajda stays under total as favourite 71% (24)
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H25-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-13)