28 Jul · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1330
FormLLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1485
FormWWLLL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~79 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)