28 Jul · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1431
FormWLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Jablonski
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1330
FormLLLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Jablonski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)