28 Jul · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1437
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dabrowski
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1420
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.