28 Jul · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1488
FormWWWLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1708
FormWWWWW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~77 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+220
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+220)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)