28 Jul · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1331
FormWLLLL
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1680
FormLLWWW
18%
82%
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~74 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
13%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+349
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+349)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)