28 Jul · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1437
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dabrowski
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1354
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 39% · 2.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)