28 Jul · 14:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1337
FormWLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Jablonski
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1443
FormWWWLW
39%
61%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 38% (16)
Fair odds · Jablonski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)