28 Jul · 15:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1443
FormWLWWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1682
FormWLLWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+239
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+239)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)