28 Jul · 15:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1474
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Perzynski
PP
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Perzynski
ELO 1499
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Perzynski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+25
H2H15-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.