28 Jul · 14:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1329
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Gajda
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1435
FormWLWLL
38%
62%
🌟Gajda stays under total as favourite 71% (24)
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H24-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-9)