28 Jul · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1474
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rudomina
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1397
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
🌟Rudomina stays under total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)