28 Jul · 15:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1439
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Perzynski
PP
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Perzynski
ELO 1499
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Perzynski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)