28 Jul · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1441
FormWWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Gajda
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1331
FormLWLLL
62%
38%
⚡ Cover lean · Gajda🌟Gajda stays under total as favourite 71% (24)
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H26-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-13)