28 Jul · 17:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1324
FormLLWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Jablonski
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1438
FormLWLWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Jablonski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)