28 Jul · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1510
FormWLWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1675
FormLWWLL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)