28 Jul · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1370
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1424
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)