28 Jul · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1316
FormLLLWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1515
FormWWLWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~78 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+199
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+199)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)