28 Jul · 19:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1482
FormLWWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Szlubowski
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1287
FormLLLWL
70%
30%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolak🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+195
H2H15-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+195)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-1)